2022 NASCAR Las Vegas odds, race predictions: The surprising Pennzoil 400 picks by model that earned Larson wins


Brad Keselowski has had more success at Las Vegas Motor Speedway than any driver in recent years, finishing in the top 10 five times in his last six races. Keselowski is also a three-time winner at this track, so he’ll be confident heading into Sunday’s 2022 Pennzoil 400, which begins at 3:30 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook has Keselowski priced at 25-1 in 2022 Pennzoil 400 odds. Is it worth being one of the NASCAR Las Vegas sleepers?

There are plenty of familiar names at the top of the market, including Kyle Larson as a 7-2 favorite. Denny Hamlin, the last driver to win at this track, is listed at 8-1. Before you browse the 2022 Pennzoil 400 starter lineup and make 2022 NASCAR Las Vegas predictions, be sure to check out the latest 2022 Pennzoil 400 picks from SportsLine’s proven projection model.

Developed by Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this exclusive NASCAR prediction model simulates each race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a solid 3-1 win. The model also nailed Kyle Larson winning the NASCAR All-Star Race 5-2 in Texas and knocked Larson out again at the Ally 400 for another 5-2 payout. Then he called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout.

He also called Larson’s win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix to win the championship. of the NASCAR Cup. In total, he called five of Larson’s wins in a historic season and had all four of his head-to-head matchup predictions to start the 2022 NASCAR season. Anyone who followed his lead on those games has seen d huge feedback on his NASCAR picks.

Now the model has simulated the 2022 NASCAR race in Las Vegas 10,000 times. Head over to SportsLine to see the full projected 2022 Pennzoil 400 standings.

Top Pennzoil 400 2022 Predictions

A surprise: The model is high on Alex Bowman, even though he is a long shot of 20-1 in the final NASCAR 2022 in Las Vegas. He is a target for anyone looking for a huge salary. Bowman took over as driver of the #48 car following the retirement of Jimmie Johnson. He has six career NASCAR Cup Series victories, including one at Martinsville Speedway in 2021. Bowman tends to have success at short tracks, making him a strong NASCAR Las Vegas race pick on Sunday.

And a huge shocker: Chase Elliott, one of the Vegas favorites at 7-1, stumbles badly and barely makes the top five. There are far better values ​​in this 2022 Pennzoil 400 open starting grid. Son of NASCAR legend Bill Elliott, Chase finished in the top 10 of the NASCAR standings in his first six full-time seasons and won the NASCAR championship Cup Series 2020.

However, Elliott’s only two Cup wins in 2021 have come on road courses and he is coming off a disappointing 26th at Fontana last weekend. Elliott has been outside the top 10 in six of his 10 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway and has finished 20th or worse five times, so he’s a fade at his current price.

How to Make NASCAR Las Vegas 2022 Picks

The model is also targeting two other drivers with a 2022 NASCAR Las Vegas rating of 14-1 or higher to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks on SportsLine.

So who wins the 2022 Pennzoil 400? And what triple-digit long shot makes a race at the checkered flag? Check out the latest 2022 NASCAR odds in Las Vegas below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full predicted 2022 Pennzoil 400 standings, all from the model that correctly predicted five of Kyle Larson’s wins last season.

2022 Pennzoil 400 Odds

Kyle Larson 7-2
Chase Elliott 7-1
Joey Logano 8-1
Denny Hamlin 8-1
Ryan Blaney 17-2
Kyle Busch 10-1
William Byron 12-1
Martin Truex Jr. 14-1
Tyler Red Dick 15-1
Kevin Harvick 15-1
Alex Bowman 20-1
Brad Keselowski 25-1
Erik Jones 25-1
Kurt Busch 28-1
Christopher Bell 30-1
Austin Cindric 30-1
Austin Dillon 35-1
Daniel Suarez 40-1
Chase Briscoe 50-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 60-1
Cole Custer 60-1
Aric Almirola 75-1
Ross Chestnut 100-1
Bubba Wallace 125-1
Chris Buescher 150-1
Ty Dillon 150-1
Greg Biffle 250-1
Daniel Hemric 250-1
Harrison Burton 250-1
Justin Haley 500-1
Michael McDowell 500-1
Todd Gilliland 1000-1
Corey Lajoie 1000-1
BJ McLeod 5000-1
Josh Bilicki 5000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
Garrett Smithley 5000-1


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