The 2022 PGA Championship heads into Round 4 on Sunday with an undisputed leader and a new favorite. While many of the top contenders entering the weekend struggled on Saturday, Mito Pereira shot a steady third-round 69, and he heads into the final round at 9-under, three shots ahead of the field. Matthew Fitzpatrick shot a 67 on Saturday and he joins Will Zalatoris, who stumbled with a 73 on Saturday, at 6 under. Tiger Woods shot a 79 on Saturday, his worst round ever in the PGA Championship, and he pulled out of the tournament before the fourth round as he was clearly struggling with pain throughout the event.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Pereira as the 3-2 favorite in the latest 2022 PGA Championship odds for Sunday. Fitzpatrick is next on the PGA odds board at 7-2, while Zalatroris is at 4-1. Other notable top-20 golfers entering Sunday include Justin Thomas (28-1), Bubba Watson (80-1) and Rory McIlroy (100-1). Before making any picks for the 2022 PGA Championship for Sunday, be sure to check out the PGA Tour predictions from SportsLine’s proven golf projection model.
SportsLine’s exclusive model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been abuzz since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, it’s risen nearly $9,000 on its best bets since then, nailing tournament after tournament. .
At the 2022 Masters, McClure’s pattern was all over Scottie Scheffler’s first career major championship win heading into the weekend. Additionally, McClure’s best bets included winning Collin Morikawa at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was on the 40-1 long shot list. The model was also all over Jon Rahm’s first career major championship victory (10-1) at the 2021 US Open. Rahm was two shots off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner.
This same model also managed eight major tournaments entering the weekend. Everyone who followed him saw massive returns.
Now that the 2022 PGA Championship heads into Sunday, SportsLine has simulated the final round 10,000 times, and the results have been startling. Head over to SportsLine now to see the projected standings.
Best 2022 PGA Championship Predictions
A huge shock the model calls for the 2022 PGA Championship: Cameron Young, who has shot 67s in a row and is four shots off the lead at 5 under, stumbles and barely finishes in the top five. Young has put on an impressive tournament so far, and he entered this week with plenty of momentum after finishing in the top three in his last two events.
But his major overall record isn’t impressive. He has failed to make the cut in his previous three attempts, including shooting a pair of 77s at the Masters earlier this year. He ranks 68th on the PGA Tour in strokes won this season and he’s 151st in percentage of greens in good standing, so the model doesn’t predict he can climb the standings on Sunday.
Another surprise: Justin Thomas, a 28-1 long shot, made a surprising run in contention. He has a better chance of winning than his odds imply, making him a great PGA Championship Sunday sleeper pick. After opening the tournament with a 67 on Friday and Saturday, Thomas fought his way to a 74 on Saturday. That dropped him to T7 and seven shots off the lead.
But things could change quickly if Pereira unleashes a few punches early. Thomas won the PGA Championship in 2017 and finished T6 in 2018, so he knows what it takes to fight. He also ranks second on the PGA Tour in birdie average (5.11), so he’s one of the best equipped golfers to make a Sunday run.
How to make picks for the 2022 PGA Championship
The model targets three golfers with three-digit odds who will make surprising courses. Anyone backing those long shots could hit big. You can only see the model choices here.
So who will win the 2022 PGA Championship? And what long shots stun the golf world? Check out the 2022 PGA Championship odds below, then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2022 PGA Championship standings, all from the model who has won eight golf majors, including this year’s Masters.
2022 PGA Championship Sunday Odds, Field
Mito Pereira 3-2
Matthew Fitzpatrick 7-2
Will Zalatoris 4-1
Cameron Young 9-1
Abraham Ancer 18-1
Justin Thomas 28-1
Seamus Power 40-1
Bubba Watson 80-1
Rory McIlroy 100-1
Sam Burns 125-1
Gary Woodland 150-1
Stewart Cink 150-1
Max Homa 150-1
Xander Schauele 200-1
Davis Riley 200-1
Chris Kirk 250-1
Webb Simpson 250-1
Lucas Herbert 300-1
Cameron Smith 400-1
Tommy Fleetwood 400-1
Tom Hoge 500-1
Adri Arnaus 750-1
Ryan Fox 750-1
Joaquin Niemann 750-1
Patrick Roseau 1000-1
Kevin Na 1000-1
Tyrell Hatton 1000-1
Brendan Steele 1000-1
Matt Kuchar 1000-1